Which countries will be the winners and losers of Corona in the new world order?

"It is too early to analyze and predict the consequences of the corona, and it cannot be definitively examined on the third page of the play, and perhaps, like the optimistic Italians, it should be ruled out," Patrick Winter wrote in a note to the Guardian. "Everything will be better tomorrow, but there is no doubt that the corona outbreak has led to a clash of different narratives about the problem, which could eventually lead to a variety of political and economic consequences, from war to peace."

According to the site of Gold Cafe, Quoted by the Guardian; Opinions about the changes in the world due to the corona outbreak and the differences between the post-corona world and the days before the outbreak cover a wide range - most of which, of course, share the inevitability of change, but in what ways will these changes be more practical? From what perspectives it will affect human life, it opens the way to different predictions and analyzes. The Guardian writer Patrick Winter analyzes the consequences of the corona outbreak from the perspective of international political relations."It is too early to analyze and predict the consequences of the corona, and it cannot be definitively examined on the third page of the play, and perhaps, like the optimistic Italians, rule that everything will be tomorrow," he said in a note to the Guardian. "It will get better," he said. "But there is no doubt that the spread of the corona has led to the clash of various narratives about the problem, which could ultimately lead to a variety of political and economic consequences, from war to peace." The important point, however, is that many agree that Corona will change the balance of power between China and the West, and at the same time "It will accelerate the transfer of power from the West to the East, because the East has reacted better to Corona : South Korea and Singapore have succeeded, and China has made up for its original mistakes."

Patrick Wintour's article in the Guardian begins: The Italians have taught us that everything will be fine, but is that true? Especially in the case of Corona, or in the words of Emmanuel Macron, the " war on the invisible enemy, " which has not been long since its inception, and it may be too early to examine its economic and political consequences.

But no one doubts that we are in a period of destiny, and so politicians have one eye on the daily war with the Crona and the other on the global consequences of this crisis.

Corona has and will have many lessons for the global village, or, as Macron puts it, "it will teach and teach us many things, it will destroy dogmas and prejudices and beliefs and beliefs, it will make many impossible things possible, and all of these will make us "They will make morality stronger."

In Germany, former Secretary of State Sigmar Gabriel says the current generation is wasting a lot of time and predicts that the next generation will be less simplistic about globalization. In France, Macron acknowledged the shortcomings and promised to invest in health. In Italy, former Prime Minister Matteo Renzi has called for a future commission. In Hong Kong, graffiti says, "Normalcy will return. "It was normal when the corona did not exist yet." Former United States Secretary of State Henry Kissinger says the world will have a new world order after the Corona. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has put it simply: "The corona will show whether the world will unite or fail."Meanwhile, in global think tanks, the debate that has been circulating in recent months is whether the post-Corona world leadership rivalry will be solely between China and the United States - which is in line with the changes resulting from the corona.

Of course, in the UK, these arguments are largely ignored, and everything is to prove the capability of the government and the workforce.

In fact, everything in Britain is reminiscent of World War II, which, according to Paul Edison in The Roads to 1945, was left-wing under the conditions of the war. The same situation can now be seen in the UK, which has had a profound impact on civil society. That is, now the British, known for their coldness and silence, are no longer playing alone, and the lost social capital of this country is being revived.

In the European Union, the United States and Asia, however, there is a wider debate and we are witnessing important public debates - such as "the need to choose between economics and public health", "decision-making and choice between centralized systems or health regions ", " harms " It includes "globalization ", "the future of the United Nations", "populism" and, of course, the "advantages and disadvantages of authoritarianism". It seems that everyone understands that a proper response to this crisis can give their country the key to leadership or at least a more effective role in global relations. In such a situation, harsh stances are taken against the critics, politicians, relying on issues such as national pride, strongly defend their country's behavior in the crisis, and are worried about their neighbor's behavior, how he was able to reduce the "curve slope"!

The think tank on the effects of the corona on international politics points to two competing narratives: whether countries should stand together or apart to confront the corona; Both of these choices have consequences and impose behaviors.

In addition, another debate these days is whether liberal countries or non-liberals have behaved better in this deep social crisis; The answers are different and still uncertain, although many believe that the East has won the battle so far and has registered its narrative as the dominant narrative. Byung Chul Han, a Korean philosopher who believes in the triumph of the East in Corona, told the Spanish newspaper El Pais that "countries like Japan, Korea, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan or Singapore have been in the square - thanks in part to traditional authoritarianism." It is the culture of these countries that has made their people more obedient to Europeans and more confident in government and power.

According to the philosopher, "China has set a successful model with its digital police during the epidemic and now proudly promotes this success as the superiority of its system." "This could mislead Western voters into demanding the security of such communities in exchange for the freedoms they have - and in cases where quarantine is not very effective."

In fact, now that China is on the verge of victory and has been able to shift its position from the culprit to the savior of the world, its politicians have taken this success as a proof of their country's superiority and are promoting it on social media. A process by which former French ambassador Michel Duclos accuses China of ruthlessly trying to propagandize its victory over the virus for the benefit of the country's political system. In fact, he likens it to the "Cold War" that erupted with the outbreak of Covid 19.

This is the interpretation used by Stephen Walt, a professor of international relations at Harvard University and author of Foreign Policy: "The corona accelerates the process of transferring power and influence from west to east. "The fact that South Korea and Singapore have shown the best reaction to the Quaid 19 and China has succeeded in making some of its initial mistakes is instructive in the face of the skeptical reaction of European governments and the United States and could weaken the West."

European leftists, such as Slavic Zizak, have a different view. These people are worried about the authoritarians gaining power. However, both they and individuals such as Shivshankar Menon, a professor at Ashoka University in India, believe that neither authoritarians nor democrats have been able to contain the pandemic. "Successful countries in the Commonwealth of Coronas have happened to be countries like Korea and Taiwan that have reacted quickly and successfully, countries that are republics and whose leaders are not recognized as authoritarian and demagogic."

Francis Fukuyama, however, believes that the reaction of nations to the Corona cannot be attributed to tyranny or republic: "That can be decisive." According to Fukuyama, Germany and South Korea can be named as models of success in this field.

Economists, of course, believe that South Korea's success in governing and controlling the corona cannot guarantee its future in post-corona world order. The country has an export-oriented economy, which, according to Professor Joseph Stiglitz, predicts that the post-corona world will internalize the economic and supply chain, that is, countries will turn more to domestic production, South Korea and countries like it. It will face many problems. According to this thinker, even if South Korea is praised for its appropriate reaction to the corona, it is scary that it will lose its global market.

Economists and political analysts also acknowledge that he has been one of the losers in the EU corona - which has made some of his supporters his main critics. The union has been widely criticized for reasons such as unpreparedness to react to the coronation, weakness and fear of the onslaught of disease, closing borders and the like, most importantly leaving Italy.

An issue that could even lead to the failure of the union, which in the eyes of Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte could mean the end of the EU: "If the EU fails, it could fall apart." The official referred to the "leaving of southern Europe alone in the face of disease and its consequences," which the Spanish foreign minister criticized: "Do the northern countries, which say they owe us our debt and financial problems, know if "If a ship sinks, even those in the first-class cabin will sink."

The only thing that diminishes the defeat and confusion of the Europeans is the chaos and capricious reactions of Donald Trump, who remind us every day what an irrational president can do to a country in times of crisis. Analysts equate the US position on the Corona with the Suez Crisis of 1956, which is seen as a symbol of the collapse of British world power, and many believe that the Corona will be recognized in the future as the "Suez moment" of the United States.